Wednesday the GOP endorsed Stephen Colbert's big lib sister in her attempt to become the next Congressperson from SC.
You may think I'm overstating my case, but follow me here. The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) announced it was pulling it's support for Republican candidate for Congress Mark Sanford. This was only hours after Sanford issued his statement regarding the news that he had been charged with Tresspassing Superbowl Sunday at his ex wife's house. He was there to watch the Superbowl with his son once he discovered his wife had left him home alone. The press never addressed the bigger question of how were sealed court documents leaked to the AP?
But the damage was done in the mind of the party. As one GOP operative told Politico “This is an unfortunate situation but this is what happens when candidates aren’t honest and withhold information.” Translation. We asked Mark if there were any secrets that could ever come out and he said no. He lied about that and now we don't believe anything he says.
Is it possible that Sanford can beat Colbert-Busch without the GOP's help? Sure. In a district where Romney beat Obama by 18 points anyone without a D next to there name should win. And anything is possible in a state where Alvin Greene won a Senate nomination!
But it will now be an upset if Sanford wins. As Democratic Political Consultant tells the State newspaper, we're now up 60-40 in this race. Why? Because the GOP just said we'd rather have Colbert-Busch in Congress than Sanford. Well their official statement was "Mark Sanford has proven he knows what it takes to win elections," said NRCC National Press Secretary Daniel Scarpinato. "At this time, the NRCC will not be engaged in this special election." But that translates into go pound sand Sanford and your supporters. Here's why. They didn't have to announce anything. They could have quietly phoned Mark and said we're disappointed and no longer feel comfortable helping you. By announcing that you are pulling out you have sent the message that the GOP doesn't want him. The comment about "not being truthful" is a dagger! It plays in to the Democrats hands perfectly. They have nothing to sell conservative voters. They don't even have anything to sell voters. I think this may be their campaign poster.
So they drag up Mark Sanford's affair and call him a liar. He lied to his wife. He lied to his staff about where he was going. He lied to the media about where he was. He lied to his kids. He lied to the voters. He lied about not using the state plane for personal trips and had to admit he used it for things as random as going to get a haircut! Who does he think he is ...John Edwards!
Now he's lied to his own party! The man can't be trusted.
Last election day 3 million fewer Republican's voted than in the 08 or 04 elections. They just stayed home. Romney wasn't conservative enough to get them off their couch's. There are plenty of conservatives who are disgusted by Mark Sanford and were trying to hold their nose to vote for him. You only need a few thousand of them to sit out a special election where turnout is usually less than half that of a Presidential Election. Last election had 290,000 voters with 179,000 going to Tim Scott. By announcing that the GOP has pulled out of the race it sends a message to those on the fence. Don't bother. We'll suffer through 18 months and then get a Republican we can trust in there in the 2014 election.
I'm pretty sure they could knock Colbert Busch out next election no matter how much money she raises. But here's the thing. The Republican party is looked at as losers right now across the country. If one of the reddest states gives up a seat that no one ever imagined would go to a Democrat, well that fires up the liberal base. Op ed pieces all across the country are filled with lines like "the South will rise again" and the Grand Old Party just shipped the bed.